Abstract
If the inventory market deteriorates (value, breadth, momentum) an excessive amount of extra, we would have to drag our bullish intermediate-term technical outlook. Whereas the key averages stay close to their all-time highs and haven’t but proven a number of deterioration or longer-term technical injury, they’ve suffered short- to intermediate-term injury that warrants a minimum of a yellow flag. By means of examples, the S&P 500 (SPX) is again under its 50-day common, the five-day/13-day exponential transferring common (EMA) crossover stays on a promote sign, the 21-day rate-of-change (ROC) is in unfavorable territory, the SPX is under its center day by day Bollinger Band, the final two rallies have failed, and the day by day Vortex indicator stays on a promote sign. The SPX has traced out two weekly and two month-to-month bearish momentum divergences. The weekly divergences return to early 2024, whereas the month-to-month divergences return to 2018. The final time we noticed something near this size of month-to-month divergences was from Could 1996 till August 2000. As well as, the weekly Coppock Curve has traced out a bearish divergence for the primary time for the reason that late 2020/late 2021 interval — and that definitely didn’t finish properly. Breadth is melting down i