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Home»Finance»Big Oil bleak on refining profits going into 2025
Finance

Big Oil bleak on refining profits going into 2025

February 1, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Big Oil bleak on refining profits going into 2025
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By Sheila Dang and Shariq Khan

HOUSTON – Huge Oil executives this week noticed little prospect of a near-term enchancment in refinery earnings after Chevron, Exxon Mobil and Shell all reported fourth-quarter earnings that had been hit laborious by a downturn within the margins for producing gasoline.

A rise in world refining capability in 2024, mixed with sputtering demand development has harm refining margins.

Chevron’s shares declined 4% after it reported a loss in its refining enterprise for the primary time since 2020, inflicting the No. 2 U.S. oil producer to overlook Wall Avenue’s revenue estimate.

“This pattern we have now seen of margins softening by 2024 is one thing you possibly can count on to proceed to see, to increase into 2025,” Chevron CEO Mike Wirth stated in an interview.

“It was a weak fourth-quarter, there is no doubt about it,” he stated on a post-earnings convention name in response to a query from an analyst in regards to the refining downturn.

“I am not going to name it an ideal storm, however it was 1 / 4 during which the whole lot went a technique and it was unfavorable.”

Wirth stated Chevron would concentrate on what it might management as a way to bounce again, together with lighter scheduled upkeep for refineries over the subsequent yr.

Exxon Mobil’s shares fell 2.5% after it reported a 75% plunge in adjusted earnings from refining in contrast with the third quarter. The broader S&P 500 Power Sector index was down 2.8% on Friday.

The refining enterprise stays below strain from extra gasoline provide getting into the market after new refineries opened in numerous nations all over the world, stated Exxon’s Chief Monetary Officer Kathryn Mikells in an interview.

“That is actually what we’re watching as we stay up for 2025,” she stated.

The No. 1 U.S. oil producer nonetheless beat revenue estimates with greater manufacturing from the Permian basin, the highest U.S. oilfield, and Guyana, the most recent oil hotspot.

UK-based Shell stated on Thursday that whereas it had no plans to exit the refining enterprise, it didn’t plan to increase both.

The corporate’s fourth-quarter earnings practically halved from the earlier yr to $3.66 billion, partly resulting from weaker refining margins.

Shell offered its refining and chemical substances hub in Singapore final yr and plans to close down one other plant in Wesseling, Germany.

HIT TO INDEPENDENT REFINERS

Whereas greater oil and gasoline manufacturing helped cushion oil majors from the impression of decrease refining earnings, the pure-play refiners took successful as gasoline demand faltered within the U.S. and China, the 2 largest oil shoppers.

Phillips 66’s fourth quarter revenue plummeted to $8 million from $1.26 billion within the year-ago quarter. Valero’s refining revenue dropped 73% within the fourth quarter.

Two U.S. refineries are set to shut this yr and restricted capability additions past 2025 will assist help refining margins over the long run, stated Valero CEO Lane Riggs on Thursday.

Traders had been additionally anxious about U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on crude imports from Canada and Mexico on Feb. 1, which might elevate prices for U.S. refiners.

French oil main TotalEnergies will report fourth quarter outcomes on Feb. 5 and British oil producer BP experiences on Feb. 11.

BP has warned {that a} drop in refining margins and the impression of turnaround and upkeep exercise would end in an as much as $300 million lower in revenue quarter-on-quarter.

(Reporting by Sheila Dang in Houston; Modifying by Richard Valdmanis, Simon Webb and Marguerita Choy)

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