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Home»Finance»Is Palantir’s Growth Too Dependent on Government Contracts?
Finance

Is Palantir’s Growth Too Dependent on Government Contracts?

December 25, 2023No Comments4 Mins Read
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Is Palantir's Growth Too Dependent on Government Contracts?
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Business people shaking hands in conference room.

Enterprise folks shaking fingers in convention room.

Palantir Applied sciences (NYSE: PLTR), which is deeply concerned with analytics and synthetic intelligence (AI), has been rising each its industrial and authorities operations through the years.

Nevertheless, some buyers are involved that maybe it’s too depending on the federal government for its progress. A change in administration might convey totally different insurance policies, and that would influence contract renewals. On the identical time, nevertheless, authorities clients generally is a nice supply of constant and recurring income.

Beneath, I am going to take a look at how a lot of Palantir’s income has come from authorities versus industrial clients and what’s been driving its progress.

The income combine has been shifting — barely

In Palantir’s most up-to-date quarterly outcomes, the corporate’s authorities income totaled somewhat below $308 million, which was 23% greater than the $251 million in income its industrial purchasers introduced in.

Palantir revenue by segment.Palantir revenue by segment.

Picture supply: Firm filings.

Two years in the past, the income was barely extra tilted, with authorities income of $218 million being 25% increased than the $174 million the corporate reported on the industrial facet. Whereas technically, Palantir has turn out to be much less dependent on authorities income since then, there hasn’t been an enormous change.

Why the combination might change sooner or later

Now that AI has turn out to be extra mainstream and companies need to do extra with knowledge, Palantir has been experiencing a major uptick in demand. And final quarter, it skilled a notable soar in industrial income.

Palantir's quarter-over-quarter growth rate by segment.Palantir's quarter-over-quarter growth rate by segment.

Picture supply: Firm filings. Chart by creator.

There was a good bit of volatility in quarter-over-quarter income progress. However take into account that ChatGPT launched in November 2022. That is when the AI hype actually began to take off. Should you simply take a look at the final three quarters, because the begin of 2023, it is clear that the industrial enterprise has been doing a lot better, with not less than 8% quarter-over-quarter income progress in two of the previous three quarters.

With the corporate lately launching AI bootcamps in a bid to assist companies discover use instances for AI by making an attempt out Palantir’s software program, it is a development that would very effectively proceed into 2024 and past.

Whereas the corporate continues to be producing most of its income from authorities contracts, that is probably not the case in the long term, which is why I do not assume Palantir’s publicity to authorities ought to be an enormous concern for buyers.

Must you spend money on Palantir’s inventory?

Palantir has been a sizzling inventory to personal this 12 months, and its shares are up by 175%. The one drawback is that the inventory is not low-cost, buying and selling at 19 occasions income and 12 occasions its ebook worth. Even based mostly on future earnings estimates, it is at a a number of of greater than 60 occasions profitability.

Granted, the corporate has solely lately turn out to be worthwhile, and its earnings ought to enhance, however these are excessive premiums buyers are paying for the enterprise. And which means a whole lot of future progress is already priced into the inventory.

So long as you are prepared to purchase and maintain shares of Palantir for a number of years, the AI inventory can nonetheless make for funding in the long term. However buyers ought to mood their expectations as 2024 probably will not be a repeat efficiency of 2023.

Must you make investments $1,000 in Palantir Applied sciences proper now?

Before you purchase inventory in Palantir Applied sciences, take into account this:

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Inventory Advisor offers buyers with an easy-to-follow blueprint for fulfillment, together with steering on constructing a portfolio, common updates from analysts, and two new inventory picks every month. The Inventory Advisor service has greater than tripled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the ten shares

 

*Inventory Advisor returns as of December 18, 2023

 

David Jagielski has no place in any of the shares talked about. The Motley Idiot has positions in and recommends Palantir Applied sciences. The Motley Idiot has a disclosure coverage.

Is Palantir’s Development Too Depending on Authorities Contracts? was initially printed by The Motley Idiot

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