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The US Protection Intelligence Company’s 2025 report highlights India’s give attention to countering China whereas viewing Pakistan as a secondary risk. It notes ongoing army modernisation within the nations, their regional conflicts, and evolving ties
Pakistan regards India as an “existential risk”, however India considers China its “main adversary,” and Pakistan extra of an “ancillary safety drawback”, the US Defence Intelligence Company has stated in its worldwide risk evaluation report for 2025.
The report forecasts that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s defence priorities will most likely give attention to demonstrating international management, countering China, and enhancing New Delhi’s army energy. “India views China as its main adversary and Pakistan extra an ancillary safety drawback to be managed, regardless of cross-border assaults in mid-Might by each India’s and Pakistan’s militaries,” the report says.
The reference was to the India-Pakistan battle earlier on this month after Indian airstrikes focused terrorist infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir.
“Following a late April terrorist assault in Jammu and Kashmir, New Delhi performed missile strikes on terrorism-related infrastructure services in Pakistan. The missile strike provoked a number of rounds of missile, drone, and loitering munition assaults, and heavy artillery hearth, by each militaries from 7 to 10 Might. As of 10 Might, each militaries had agreed to a full ceasefire,” the report says.
India, it says, is prioritising bilateral protection partnerships within the Indian Ocean area to counter Chinese language affect and enhance its international management position.
It additionally referred to the India-China border dispute and stated final yr’s disengagement “didn’t resolve the longstanding dispute about border demarcation however lowered some stress nonetheless lingering” from the 2020 conflict.
“India virtually definitely will proceed selling its “Made in India” initiative this yr to construct its home protection trade, mitigate provide chain considerations, and modernize its army India continued to modernize its army in 2024, conducting a check of the nuclear-capable developmental Agni-I Prime MRBM and the Agni-V a number of independently targetable reentry automobile whereas additionally commissioning its second nuclear-powered submarine to strengthen its nuclear triad and bolster its capability to discourage adversaries,” it stated.
On India-Russia ties, the US report stated India will preserve its relationship with Russia via 2025 as a result of it views its ties to Russia “as essential for attaining its financial and protection aims and sees worth within the relationship as a way to offset deepening Russia-China relations”. “Underneath Modi, India has lowered its procurement of Russian-origin army gear however nonetheless depends on Russian spare components to keep up and maintain its giant stock of Russian-origin tanks and fighter plane that type the spine of its army’s capability to counter perceived threats from China and Pakistan,” it says.
The Protection Intelligence Company comes beneath the US Division of Protection and specialises in army intelligence.
In its part on Pakistan, the US report stated Pakistan army’s prime priorities are prone to stay cross-border skirmishes with regional neighbors, rising assaults by Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan and Baloch nationalist militants, counterterrorism efforts, and nuclear modernisation. “Regardless of Pakistan’s each day operations through the previous yr, militants killed greater than 2,500 individuals in Pakistan in 2024.”
“Pakistan regards India as an existential risk and can proceed to pursue its army modernization effort, together with the event of battlefield nuclear weapons, to offset India’s standard army benefit,” the report says.
It provides that Pakistan is modernising its nuclear arsenal. “Pakistan is modernizing its nuclear arsenal and sustaining the safety of its nuclear supplies and nuclear command and management. Pakistan virtually definitely procures WMD-applicable items from overseas suppliers and intermediaries,” the report says. WMD right here means Weapons of Mass Destruction.
Pakistan, the report notes, receives financial and army largesse from China and its forces conduct a number of army workouts with Chinese language forces. “International supplies and know-how supporting Pakistan’s WMD applications are very doubtless acquired primarily from suppliers in China, and generally are transshipped via Hong Kong, Singapore, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates. Nonetheless, terrorist assaults concentrating on Chinese language staff who assist China-Pakistan Financial Hall tasks has emerged as some extent of friction between the nations; seven Chinese language nationals have been killed in Pakistan in 2024,” it says.
On Pakistan’s ties with Iran, the report says, “Pakistan and Iran have taken steps, together with high-level conferences, to deescalate tensions after the 2 nations performed unilateral airstrikes on one another’s territory in January 2024 in response to cross-border terror assaults.”
“In September 2024, Taliban and Pakistani border forces clashed close to border posts, ensuing within the loss of life of eight Taliban fighters. In March 2025, Pakistan and the Afghanistan exchanged air and artillery strikes on one another’s territory, every citing alleged militant infrastructure because the targets,” it provides.