Unbelievable, isn’t it? Each summer season, Europe’s prime 5 leagues enter their golf equipment’ names right into a machine so legendary you’re left with the impression it’s carried round in a locked suitcase by a boffin who has been handcuffed to it. The fixture laptop, in actuality a uninteresting laptop computer, makes use of an algorithm to randomly draw up the soccer calendar, permitting for a couple of variables.
And but, every season, a number of the greatest video games in England, Spain, Italy, France and Germany crop up all on the identical weekend. If this isn’t one of many first nefarious indicators of AI’s intentions to mess with us, The Athletic doesn’t know what’s.
First up on this monster of a weekend is El Clasico on Saturday night, as La Liga leaders Barcelona tackle second-placed Actual Madrid. Then there’s a blockbuster triple-header on Sunday; Premier League-leading Liverpool journey to Arsenal in third, Juventus (third) head to Inter Milan (second) for the Derby d’Italia and Marseille, one other aspect in third spot, host first-placed Paris Saint-Germain in Le Classique.
Three of these eight groups are reigning champions of their nation (Madrid, Inter, PSG) and one other (Arsenal) have come very shut for the previous two seasons, ending 5 and two factors adrift of four-in-a-row title winners Manchester Metropolis, together with of their 2022-23 treble marketing campaign.
Lining up in opposition to these sides this weekend are 4 coaches who’ve solely been of their jobs a couple of months — however who’ve began properly.
Hansi Flick has Barcelona feeling like Barcelona once more, regardless of being neither Catalan nor Dutch. Thiago Motta is unbeaten in Serie A having dressed Allegri-ball up in new, extra fashionable garments — Juventus have conceded solely as soon as in eight league video games. Marseille began the Roberto De Zerbi period with a 5-1 away win in opposition to Champions League qualifiers Brest and hammered Montpellier 5-0 on their personal pitch final Sunday. Arne Slot took on the mammoth process of getting into Jurgen Klopp’s sneakers at Liverpool, and has gained seven video games out of his eight Premier League matches to date.
The subsequent two days current these challengers with the hardest check of their credentials but…
Hansi Flick and a Barcelona that ‘solely take into consideration scoring’
Actual Madrid (2nd) vs Barcelona (prime)
Saturday; 8pm GMT, 3pm ET
If there was a single picture to sum up Barcelona’s begin to the season, it might in all probability be that of Hansi Flick, standing on the touchline in a saggy blue T-shirt — palms in pockets and straggly-haired — obtrusive straight forward with narrowed, inscrutable eyes.
Certainly no supervisor had ever regarded so livid on the sight of their workforce going 7-0 up.
Flick doesn’t need to say a lot to convey the ruthlessness that has fuelled Barca’s transformation underneath his watch, and that emphatic win over Actual Valladolid on the finish of August was a daunting present of what can occur once they merely don’t let up. “The depth didn’t drop at any second, and that’s good,” he stated straight-faced after the sport, as if expectations had been met, reasonably than exceeded.
Such a businesslike method has stored requirements excessive at Barca this season, and apart from blips in opposition to Monaco and Osasuna — the latter involving an early purple card, the previous some heavy rotation — Barcelona have dominated 11 out of 11 video games. They lead La Liga not solely on factors, however in most different metrics; photographs, objectives, anticipated objectives (xG); possession and subject tilt; duel win-rate and ball recoveries within the attacking third.
Once they have possession, the concept is to stretch the pitch whereas overloading the center with harmful, technical gamers, counting on the pinpoint passing of the centre-backs — significantly Pau Cubarsi — to search out the gaps. Right here, in a win in opposition to Athletic Bilbao in what was simply Flick’s second official sport in cost, we are able to see Alejandro Balde pushing on from left-back to maintain the width, with Lamine Yamal on the opposite aspect, whereas 4 attacking gamers sit between the traces of the opposition’s 4-4-2.
From right here, Cubarsi has the instruments to dictate the assault; he can go broad and direct into Yamal who’s one-v-one together with his full-back, or he can punch the ball by the traces, as he does with laser-like consistency.
This go by to Dani Olmo, for instance, takes six gamers out of the sport and leaves the midfielder bearing down on the opposition’s again 4.
That potential to change up the tempo of the assault has made the distinction for Barca this season, with Yamal himself citing their direct play as key to their success: “After we get better the ball, we solely take into consideration scoring,” he advised Spanish soccer outlet Jijantes.
No participant has embodied that philosophy fairly like Raphinha, already only one purpose behind his report single-season tally of 10 in a Barcelona shirt. Capable of each run the left flank and drop into these central areas, the dynamism of his motion continues to tug opposition gamers everywhere in the pitch.
The graphic under makes use of information from SkillCorner to seize the efficiency of the Brazilian’s off-the-ball motion; not solely is he the participant with essentially the most high-intensity sprints in La Liga this season, no person comes near his 153 runs in behind the opposition defence. His athleticism and pace enable him to begin runs from deep and tear by your offside lure, as he did time and time once more in Barca’s 4-1 thumping of Bayern Munich within the Champions League on Wednesday.
This Barcelona workforce have loads of technical tips up their sleeve, however their best strategy to purpose to date this season has been to make use of sheer ahead momentum to crash into the areas their positional play opens up.
Keep away from defeat at present in Madrid, and a title cost may actually begin to take form.
Tips on how to watch
- UK: Premier Sports activities, La Liga TV
- United States: ESPN+, Fubo
Thom Harris
Liverpool look extra mature underneath Arne Slot — on and off the ball
Arsenal (third) v Liverpool (prime)
Sunday; 4.30pm GMT, 12.30pm ET
Any supervisor who succeeded Jurgen Klopp at Anfield was destined to be dealt a tough hand. Klopp’s high-octane, frenetic model of play was breathless till the final — who may comply with one of the best act in Liverpool’s fashionable historical past?
But Arne Slot was dealt among the finest palms in European soccer — inheriting a squad ready-made to push for titles this season.
So, what has modified in Liverpool’s enjoying model? Surprisingly little.
The transition has been smoother than anticipated, with Liverpool successful 11 of their opening 12 matches for the primary time of their 132-year historical past, additionally breaking a membership report with six successive away victories at first of a season. If Liverpool had been enjoying with their coronary heart within the Klopp period, they’re now enjoying extra with their head, exhibiting a higher maturity of their sport each once they have the ball and when the opposite lot are in possession.
A affected person build-up and cautious development by the thirds is the notable change in Liverpool’s model this season, however there’s a refreshing pragmatism to Slot’s method.
If groups sit off, centre-backs Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konate will attempt to attract them out with a slower, thought-about build-up. Press too excessive, although, and Van Dijk can punish you with a line-breaking go into Ryan Gravenberch or a zinged cross-field diagonal to Mohamed Salah.
Sure, Slot prefers a thought-about model of play, however he’s conscious about the qualities he has at his disposal — which could be unpredictable for opponents to arrange for.
“(Final season) they used each second they might to play in behind or deep,” Slot stated of Liverpool’s 2023-24 aspect in an interview with UK broadcaster Sky Sports activities. “That meant that the sport was generally open, so I’ve advised them to get a greater judgement in danger and reward. When you can put somebody by in entrance of the goalkeeper, please attempt to take action. If not, generally it’s a good suggestion to maintain the ball.”
The return of Liverpool’s transitional model was box-office leisure at instances in Klopp’s farewell season, however their openness in assault grew to become their Achilles’ heel out of possession.
Fast regains excessive up the sphere and counter-pressing actions had been commonplace underneath the German, however Liverpool had a behavior of being horribly uncovered if that press was mistimed: their 3.1 ‘direct assaults’ — a proxy of counter-attacking — conceded per 90 minutes final season was the sixth-highest within the Premier League.
Issues have tightened up since Slot got here in. Liverpool’s urgent depth — denoted by their passes allowed per defensive motion (PPDA) — is decrease and their quantity of excessive regains has decreased in trade for higher defensive construction. That is mostly seen of their 4-2-4 form out of possession, with wingers blocking passes out to the full-backs and a striker (Diogo Jota) and attacking midfielder (Dominik Szoboszlai) stopping the ball from being progressed by central areas…
…however with the potential of adapting, as proven this week in opposition to RB Leipzig within the Champions League by Slot’s tweak to a 4-1-4-1 off the ball.
The decision? Liverpool are the identical; similar, however completely different. Slot is constructing on the foundations Klopp laid, subtly filling in any cracks that had been beginning to emerge final season.
Tips on how to watch
- UK: Sky Sports activities
- United States: Peacock Premium
Mark Carey
Thiago Motta’s Juventus have finest defensive report within the prime 5 leagues
Inter Milan (2nd) v Juventus (third)
Sunday; 5pm GMT, 1pm ET
It could be facile to recommend Juventus have modified in an effort to keep the identical. They appointed an apparently progressive new coach this summer season, spent greater than €100million (£83m/$108m on the present trade charges) on 9 signings and promoted extra academy children from their Subsequent Gen youth improvement programme.
Nonetheless unbeaten within the league after eight video games, Juventus undoubtedly look completely different in additional than simply personnel underneath Thiago Motta. No one in Serie A holds onto the ball greater than them, they make extra passes than anybody else and might play slick sequences from again to entrance just like the one which led to Alessio Romagnoli’s first-half purple card in final Saturday’s 1-0 dwelling win in opposition to Lazio. Romagnoli was the final man and slid in on Pierre Kalulu, his fellow defender and former AC Milan team-mate, after the Frenchman had been despatched by on purpose like a centre-forward reasonably than a centre-back.
In the long run although, their winner that day solely arrived through a late personal purpose. Juventus’ struggles to interrupt down 10 males for over an hour underscored their basic issue in busting by deep defences. They’ve the league’s ninth-best assault when it comes to objectives scored and have marginally out-performed their xG (11 to 10.4) due to long-distance, low-percentage objectives from Samuel Mbangula and Andrea Cambiaso. Thirteenth in photographs per 90, Juventus are twelfth for touches within the opposition penalty space, with Cambiaso and Kenan Yildiz the main protagonists in getting the ball into the field by their carries and passes.
The summer season sale of Moise Kean to Fiorentina and Arkadiusz Milik’s extended spell on the sidelines with a knee damage imply Dusan Vlahovic is the one recognised No 9 within the squad. Abilities akin to Yildiz, 19, are nailed-on starters for the primary time of their careers and it’s maybe an excessive amount of to anticipate them to provide game-defining moments each few days. Juventus’ midfielders have but to chip in with any objectives this season.
In mitigation, late switch enterprise, accidents and the general overhaul function silent pleas for persistence. On the again, Motta’s Juventus play on the ball in addition to Allegri’s Juventus used to defend the area. Their zero non-penalty objectives conceded is one of the best report in Europe’s prime 5 leagues — and so they started the season alternating successive 3-0 wins with back-to-back 0-0 attracts.
It has, at instances, been monotonous and boring.
For the reason that opening weekend’s 3-0 defeat of newly-promoted guests Como, followers at Juventus’ Allianz Stadium have watched them rating a penalty in opposition to Cagliari, profit from that personal purpose by Lazio, and fail to search out the web in opposition to Roma, Napoli and, this midweek, Champions League guests Stuttgart, who deservedly inflicted their first defeat of the marketing campaign.
“Allegri with new tips” continues to be the fallacious strategy to characterise Motta, no matter their curiously related press convention traces. However a unique model has to date delivered an identical spectacle. For now, outcomes have coated up for that, though tomorrow’s Derby d’Italia in opposition to Inter, the membership with whom Motta gained the treble as a participant, may herald the twilight of his grace interval.
Tips on how to watch
- UK: TNT Sports activities
- United States: Paramount+, Fubo
James Horncastle
Roberto De Zerbi and Marseille: fireplace, meet fireplace
Marseille (third) v Paris Saint-Germain (prime)
Sunday; 7.45pm GMT, 3.45pm ET
In Could this 12 months, Brighton & Hove Albion introduced Roberto De Zerbi would depart his head coach position on the finish of the 2023-24 season. I joked to a buddy that he ought to be a part of Marseille.
A case of unstoppable pressure meets immovable object: the passionate, loud Marseille ultras intimated Marcelino into resigning final season. After seven video games. That very same marketing campaign ended with De Zerbi because the joint-most-booked supervisor/head coach within the Premier League and saying that he disliked “80 per cent” of English referees. Fireplace, meet fireplace.
De Zerbi grew to become Marseille’s sixth head coach, full-time or interim, in 13 months.
Tactically, they match. The membership motto — droit au however — interprets as ‘straight to the purpose’. De Zerbi’s 4-2-3-1 setup desires of the choreographed passing patterns that bait the opposition and play by them — it’s how Brighton (underneath the Italian) beat Marseille (underneath Gennaro Gattuso) to complete first of their shared Europa League group final season.
It’s going to shock no person that De Zerbi has caught to his ideas. Marseille are second to Paris Saint-Germain for possession (60.6 per cent) in Ligue 1. Their territorial dominance within the first eight video games has seen them shift right into a 3-2-5 build-up, with the left-back pushing on and the left winger shifting into the half-space.
De Zerbi may — emphasis on may — tone down the model in opposition to higher opposition, however Marseille have flown out the blocks underneath him. There’s De Zerbi’s trademark No 9 dropping in, slow-then-quick attacking play as soon as the opposition midfield line is break up, and wingers crashing the back-post with an emphasis on cutbacks.
Look out for Luis Henrique specifically, a 22-year-old who Marseille signed 4 years in the past however is just now establishing himself within the first workforce after 18 months on mortgage again in his native Brazil. He’s scored 4 objectives and assisted three in Ligue 1 this season, whereas working as a winger, and has a penchant for a screamer. Former Manchester United ahead Mason Greenwood joined this summer season and has six objectives in eight video games.
Marseille (21) are the second-highest-scorers in Ligue 1 (after PSG’s 25) whereas having the fewest headed purpose makes an attempt within the league (seven). This encapsulates how a lot of their soccer is performed on the ground.
5 wins and 17 factors from eight video games is one among Marseille’s finest begins in latest historical past. Up to now 10 seasons, solely in 2022-23 (20 factors) did they’ve extra factors at this stage.
Though there will probably be considerations over sustainability, with Marseille working scorching at each ends. They’re essentially the most medical workforce in Europe’s prime 5 home leagues for overperforming anticipated objectives (by 7.7), with their probability creation (12.3 xG) nearly precisely matching their probability concession (11.2 xGA). But they’ve a purpose distinction of +13. It really works… till it doesn’t.
Marseille will want these margins to fall their manner on this sport, as they’ve a horrendous latest report in opposition to tomorrow’s opponents: in PSG’s Qatari-owned period (so, over the previous 13 years), Marseille have gained three of the 31 conferences, shedding 24 instances. They did beat them within the Coupe de France, the French equal to the FA Cup in England, in February 2023 however haven’t come out on prime on this league fixture, at their Velodrome dwelling, since November 2011.
Tips on how to watch
Liam Tharme
(Images: Getty Photographs; design: Eamonn Dalton)