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Home»Finance»Treasury Bonds Just Hit 4-Week Lows. How Much Lower Can They Go?
Finance

Treasury Bonds Just Hit 4-Week Lows. How Much Lower Can They Go?

July 16, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Treasury Bonds Just Hit 4-Week Lows. How Much Lower Can They Go?
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Financial paperwork via Shutterstock
Monetary paperwork through Shutterstock

September U.S. T-Bond futures (ZBU25) current a promoting alternative on extra value weak spot.

See on the each day bar chart for September U.S. Treasury bond futures that costs at the moment are beginning to pattern decrease and have simply hit a four-week low. See, too, on the backside of the chart that the transferring common convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bearish posture and has lately produced a bearish line crossover sign, whereby the crimson MACD line has moved under the blue set off line. Each strains are additionally trending down.

Essentially, the U.S. financial system is in fairly good condition, as seen by latest extra upbeat U.S. financial knowledge. The Federal Reserve additionally thinks U.S. inflation stays sticky. Each of those elements are prone to restrict the flexibility of the Federal Reserve to decrease rates of interest. These parts are additionally U.S. bond-market bearish. Rising U.S. commerce tariff threats have solely added to worries about rising inflation.

A transfer in September U.S. T-Bond futures costs under chart assist at 112 16/32 would change into a promoting alternative. The draw back value goal could be 108 even, or under. Technical resistance, for which to put a protecting purchase cease simply above, is positioned at 114 16/32.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

IMPORTANT NOTE: I’m not a futures dealer and don’t handle any buying and selling accounts apart from my very own private account. It’s my purpose to level out to you potential buying and selling alternatives. Nevertheless, it’s as much as you to: (1) resolve when and if you wish to provoke any trades and (2) decide the scale of any trades you could provoke. Any trades I focus on are hypothetical in nature.

Here’s what the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC) has mentioned about futures buying and selling (and I agree 100%):

Buying and selling commodity futures and choices will not be for everybody. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Earlier than you make investments any cash in futures or choices contracts, it’s best to take into account your monetary expertise, objectives and monetary sources, and know the way a lot you may afford to lose above and past your preliminary fee to a dealer. You must perceive commodity futures and choices contracts and your obligations in coming into into these contracts. You must perceive your publicity to threat and different points of buying and selling by totally reviewing the chance disclosure paperwork your dealer is required to offer you.

On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff didn’t have (both straight or not directly) positions in any of the securities talked about on this article. All data and knowledge on this article is solely for informational functions. This text was initially revealed on Barchart.com

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