Confetti rained down round Invoice Belichick and Tom Brady as the 2 hugged close to midfield, Tremendous Bowl champs collectively for the sixth time. It was Feb. 3, 2019. Belichick patted Brady’s shoulder pads twice. Robert Kraft, the longtime proprietor of the Patriots, embraced the quarterback. He advised Brady he was the very best ever.
All of them partied collectively that evening in Atlanta because the franchise celebrated an unmatched run of dominance. The Chainsmokers and Snoop Dogg carried out.
With the Patriots’ Tremendous Bowl LIII win over the Rams, Kraft, Belichick and Brady every cemented their standing as essentially the most profitable at their respective place in NFL historical past. No proprietor, no coach, no quarterback might match the stretch of profitable that the three architects of the Patriots dynasty had orchestrated.
However behind the scenes, the connection between Brady and Belichick was fraying. The issues that had made them such a superb pairing for 20 years had been now pulling them aside.
Brady left New England after the 2019 season to signal with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The next season, he led the Bucs to a Tremendous Bowl title, the seventh of his storied profession. Over the past 4 years, the Patriots, in the meantime, tried Cam Newton, Mac Jones, then Bailey Zappe at quarterback as their offense slowly decayed into one of many league’s worst.
After arguably the very best 20-year run in league historical past, the Patriots haven’t gained a playoff recreation since that Tremendous Bowl in Atlanta 5 years in the past. They’re 29-37 since Brady left and 4-12 this season, incomes their first last-place end within the AFC East since 2000, Belichick’s first 12 months on the job. Now, they’re only a week away from a possible main sea change. Rumors abound — as they’ve for a lot of the autumn — that Belichick and the Patriots could half methods on the finish of the season.
Solutions concerning the franchise’s future are anticipated to come back following a sit-down between Kraft and Belichick shortly after the Week 18 recreation towards the New York Jets that issues solely in the way it will have an effect on New England’s 2024 draft place.
The Athletic spoke with a number of crew and league sources acquainted with the considering contained in the constructing to look at how essentially the most profitable relationships in NFL historical past soured, placing the Patriots in a downward spiral and on the doorstep of franchise-altering questions.
Patriots proprietor Robert Kraft, left, and coach Invoice Belichick earlier than the Patriots’ Dec. 17 recreation towards the Chiefs. (Eric Canha / USA At the moment)
For thus lengthy, Belichick was the proper coach for Brady. The three-time NFL coach of the 12 months took a shovel to the chip on Brady’s shoulder. The quarterback was at his greatest when he believed he’d been slighted, when he might make an enemy out of the smallest knock on him. And Belichick picked at that wound. He identified Brady’s flaws in crew conferences greater than another participant. For a very long time, Brady thrived on that.
And for therefore lengthy, Brady was the proper quarterback for Belichick. He believed in complementary soccer, keen to place his stats apart for the good thing about the crew. He took discounted contracts to assist Belichick construct out the roster at different positions, and he didn’t complain if these extra sources weren’t used on the offense.
However by the tip of 2019, celebrating one other Tremendous Bowl felt like a distant reminiscence. The connection between Brady and Belichick was fractured. After six Tremendous Bowls and three MVPs, Brady was 42 years outdated and didn’t need to be antagonized at work anymore. He wished the type of contract that meant he wouldn’t go anyplace till he was 45, making certain he retired as a Patriot. Belichick wouldn’t decide to that type of deal.
Brady complained to Kraft all through 2019. Belichick did the identical. That wasn’t essentially new. Kraft heard independently from the 2 sides for over a 12 months, typically aptly strolling the tightrope of letting both sides vent with out making rash selections, maintaining collectively essentially the most profitable relationship in NFL historical past even when it felt like they had been close to a boiling level. Many throughout the group credit score Kraft for his work as a intermediary, maintaining Brady and Belichick collectively lengthy sufficient to win that sixth Tremendous Bowl.
Kraft’s closing ploy to maintain collectively the very best coach-quarterback duo in league historical past was to make sure Brady would have the possibility to be a free agent on the finish of 2019. He hoped that might incentivize Belichick to make adjustments. Deal with Brady in another way. Make him an even bigger a part of the operation. Concentrate on the offense extra.
However Belichick refused to vary. He advised Kraft that Brady’s play was declining. As painful because it was to say goodbye to Brady, which he did throughout an in-person chat at Kraft’s house, the proprietor understood why Brady wished to depart, and Kraft trusted his longtime coach that the separation would finally assist the Patriots.
Since Brady’s departure, although, Kraft has grown pissed off as his crew, as soon as a mannequin of success, has cratered into one of many NFL’s worst.
Belichick, in the meantime, has expressed irritation that each one the success he’s helped present hasn’t garnered extra deference throughout this decline. When requested earlier than the 2023 season why followers ought to nonetheless be optimistic concerning the Patriots, Belichick quipped, “I don’t know — the final 25 years?”
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Within the days earlier than this season started, Belichick, 71, spoke with a reverence for Brady that he hadn’t to that time. Brady was returning to Gillette Stadium for the primary time since his retirement for a ceremony that included a halftime speech.
Because the occasion neared, Belichick referred to as Brady the very best offensive participant ever. He stated that one evening wasn’t almost sufficient to rejoice the previous quarterback. Requested for a favourite reminiscence, Belichick stated, “There are six of them that come to thoughts.”
For longtime members of the group, it was jarring to listen to Belichick speak like that after years of arduous teaching and restricted reward for Brady. Some had been left to ponder troublesome questions: If Belichick had spoken like that within the closing years with Brady, would possibly the quarterback have stayed in New England? Would they’ve a seventh Tremendous Bowl ring collectively? An eighth?
Tom Brady and Belichick in 2019. (Adam Glanzman / Getty Photographs)
However Belichick hasn’t modified. And he wasn’t going to for one participant, even Brady. He could have a dry humorousness away from the cameras, however for essentially the most half, what you see is what you get. His demeanor contained in the crew’s headquarters isn’t that completely different from the gruff, stoic angle often on show at his information conferences.
Patriots Corridor of Famer Kevin Faulk as soon as stated he walked previous Belichick within the hallways for years, greeting him day by day with out a lot as a “Whats up” in return. Gamers seldom hear flattering remarks from their coach. “He positively serves a whole lot of humble pie,” security Jabrill Peppers stated. “He don’t reward no person,” linebacker Mack Wilson agreed.
That may make it troublesome to narrate to younger gamers who be part of the Patriots, a unique technology that wishes to grasp why the crew is doing sure issues quite than simply being ordered round, one which likes to be complimented and acknowledged for its arduous work.
In some ways, the Patriots do issues in another way than the remainder of the league, largely due to how Belichick runs the present. They’ve been reluctant to embrace sports activities science and analytics. Belichick as soon as stated he makes use of analytics “lower than zero” to make in-game selections. The Patriots are certainly one of solely 4 NFL groups that don’t make use of a multiperson analytics and analysis division. It’s truthful to purpose they haven’t modernized the best way most different groups have as a result of Belichick hasn’t seen the necessity to with the six Lombardi Trophies as proof for persevering with to do issues his approach.
Whereas most different groups have seen their teaching staffs balloon with further assistants lately, Belichick has opted to maintain his interior circle tight. So the Patriots started this season with 18 assistant coaches, together with solely eight on offense. (The 49ers, by comparability, have 27 on employees, together with 14 on offense.) That was particularly troubling in 2023 when two offensive assistants left midseason. Offensive line coach Adrian Klemm left the crew in November for a “health-related” situation, Belichick stated, and huge receivers coach Ross Douglas left in early December to take the identical job with Syracuse.
Given the small dimension, Belichick calls for extra from his employees. The group went to Las Vegas final January to teach one of many groups on the Shrine Bowl, a pre-draft showcase recreation for faculty prospects. Arthur Smith’s Atlanta Falcons employees was in control of the opposite crew. Smith labored his assistants arduous throughout the day however allowed them day without work to have enjoyable and get to know one another at evening. Belichick took a unique method. His employees spent 12 hours a day making ready for the sport. Then, as soon as that work was executed, they spent their nights learning for the approaching NFL season — seven months away.
It additionally hasn’t helped that a few of Belichick’s prime lieutenants have departed for different jobs, additional isolating an already reclusive coach. Josh McDaniels, who labored with Belichick for 18 years, left to grow to be the Raiders’ head coach. Brian Flores, who labored with Belichick for 11 years, left to take the pinnacle teaching job with the Dolphins. Dante Scarnecchia and Ivan Fears, the place coaches Belichick trusted most, retired after a mixed 40 years beneath Belichick. Proper-hand man Ernie Adams retired after 20 seasons with Belichick.
The identical occurred within the participant personnel division, which Belichick additionally leads. Nick Caserio grew to become the Texans’ basic supervisor after 20 years with Belichick. Dave Ziegler left to grow to be the Raiders’ basic supervisor after 9 years beneath Belichick. Monti Ossenfort left for the Texans after which obtained the Cardinals’ basic supervisor gig after working with Belichick for 14 years.
Belichick is sluggish to belief and values familiarity over the unknown. He doesn’t need to educate an entire new teaching employees do its job. So he changed these assistants with acquainted faces, even when they lacked the correct {qualifications}. That led to Matt Patricia, a defensive specialist, and Joe Choose, a former particular groups coordinator, collectively working the offense in 2022, an important 12 months for second-year quarterback Mac Jones. (New England went 8-9 and Jones struggled mightily.)
With these departures, Belichick misplaced a lot of his sounding boards. His decision-making grew to become much more siloed. In a league that more and more values collaboration and a confluence of concepts, the Patriots are an anomaly. Belichick decides all the pieces. Scouts can spend years attending to know all the pieces a couple of prospect, but when Belichick doesn’t agree with the evaluation, they’re typically overruled.
His draft lessons have lengthy struggled. Astoundingly, Belichick hasn’t re-signed a participant he drafted within the first three rounds since 2013 (Duron Harmon). In 2022, he selected a left guard within the first spherical who was seen by most specialists as a third-round decide at greatest, then within the second spherical selected a large receiver (Tyquan Thornton) who can already be labeled a bust. His 2021 first-round decide (Jones) has been benched, and his first-round decide in 2019 (N’Keal Harry) was such a bust that he was off the crew three years later.
That brought on Kraft to up the stress on Belichick within the spring of 2021, bemoaning the outcomes of his latest draft lessons and insisting on enchancment. “If you wish to have a superb, constant, profitable soccer crew, you possibly can’t do it in free company,” Kraft stated. “You need to do it via the draft.”
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However Belichick, who got here up learning defenses, has been unable to repair the crew’s offense. The Patriots rank final in scoring this season.
As a substitute, Belichick has sought to win by zigging when everybody else zags. He deliberate to win this season with protection and particular groups, investing extra sources into particular groups than another coach within the league (the Patriots have seven gamers on their 53-man roster solely devoted to the unit). But, they rank final within the NFL in subject purpose proportion, thirty first in yards per punt return and twenty third in internet yards per punt.
The 82-year-old Kraft has taken it nicely that he’s been handed up for the Professional Soccer Corridor of Fame the final two years, even when his absence surprises many across the league.
His resume warrants a spot in Canton. He has helped flip the Patriots right into a mannequin group. He constructed Gillette Stadium, paid for the latest renovations and oversaw the creation of Patriot Place across the stadium, a multi-use business complicated that began a pattern across the NFL. He chairs the league’s core media committee, which was accountable in 2021 for securing a brand new media rights deal reportedly value greater than $100 billion. He has grow to be a trusted confidant of commissioner Roger Goodell. He was credited with serving to dealer the deal in 2011 that helped finish the league’s first lockout in 24 years. After which there are these six Lombardi Trophies that reside in Foxboro.
Nonetheless, the votes haven’t but come, although Kraft has been a finalist for the final two years. His subsequent probability to be inducted is with the Class of 2025.
So Kraft stays cognizant of his picture and cautious in his decision-making. It’s unlikely he’ll determine Belichick’s destiny along with his Corridor of Fame candidacy prime of thoughts; there are larger points at play. However no matter determination Kraft makes can be a part of that legacy, including further weight to an already troublesome and necessary selection. After Kraft watched Brady win a Tremendous Bowl elsewhere, how painful would it not be if Belichick did the identical?
“Earlier than I make a closing determination,” Kraft as soon as wrote, “I measure 9 instances and I lower as soon as.”
That’s why it’s no shock that Kraft has been calculated concerning this determination about Belichick. It’s not going to come back calmly. In 30 years of possession, he has solely labored with three head coaches and is proud all three have discovered lasting success (Invoice Parcells, Pete Carroll and Belichick).
After all, there’s been lots to love within the 24 years Kraft and Belichick have labored collectively. However that hasn’t continued lately, which is why Kraft challenged Belichick in 2021. For a relationship that had been so profitable for therefore lengthy, it was one of many first public critiques of Belichick’s plan and outcomes.
Belichick, for his half, appeared to start enjoying his personal video games via the media from that time on. He praised a number of different possession teams and the amenities of a number of different groups whereas conspicuously refraining from praising the Krafts and the renovations they’ve privately funded at Gillette Stadium. In the meantime, he’s stated little publicly about Robert or Jonathan Kraft. His solely feedback concerning the $250 million renovation the Krafts accomplished this 12 months had been about how the larger video board would possibly have an effect on wind patterns for the kickers.
In August, simply earlier than Kraft discovered he hadn’t been chosen for the Corridor of Fame, Belichick was given an opportunity to publicly again the candidacy of the man who indicators his paychecks. It was a softball of a query, however Belichick was temporary in his reply.
“Maintaining our fingers crossed that we get the vote this 12 months,” he stated.
To Belichick backers, it was a easy signal of assist for the proprietor. He hoped Kraft would get the votes. What extra might you need?
However others noticed it as a less-than-full-throated endorsement. Belichick is usually temporary when discussing his present crew, however it’s not unusual for him to speak for a number of minutes about lengthy snappers, left-footed punters or Curly Lambeau’s playbook. But when it got here to his boss’s place in NFL historical past, his reply lasted 11 phrases.
(Vincent Carchietta / USA At the moment)
On Dec. 17, Kraft sat quietly in his proprietor’s suite beneath Part 310 because the Patriots misplaced their penultimate house recreation to the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs.
It was a chilly Sunday afternoon. It felt like there have been extra Chiefs followers in attendance than these of any opposing crew in years. The scene was a far cry from what the NFL envisioned originally of the season when this recreation had been tabbed for “Monday Evening Soccer.”
However even all of the favor Kraft has constructed with broadcast companions and the stardom of the Chiefs — like reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes, all-world tight Travis Kelce and even pop celebrity girlfriend Taylor Swift — wasn’t sufficient for ESPN and the NFL to need the slumping Patriots as a part of their prime-time slate. They moved the sport from Monday evening to Sunday afternoon, one other intestine punch for Kraft and his crew in a season filled with them.
Now change feels inevitable. Some see it as an indication of respect that Kraft didn’t fireplace Belichick outright following certainly one of a number of rock-bottom moments this season. However that stated, it’s arduous to think about merely working issues again with minimal adjustments.
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Maybe Kraft is likely to be enticed to maintain Belichick because the coach if he’d relinquish energy elsewhere (like management of participant personnel or the draft), however it appears unlikely that Belichick, mastermind of six Tremendous Bowls, goes to willingly quit the authority he’s amassed.
What appears probably is a mutual parting of the methods, an opportunity for the Krafts to rejoice and thank Belichick for the years of success whereas bringing in a brand new voice to steer the group. The Patriots might additionally attempt to search draft compensation from one other crew by buying and selling Belichick, however the coach must be on board with that plan. Or perhaps the 2 sides can by some means put this season behind them, shock onlookers across the league and preserve their relationship going for an additional 12 months.
Their collaboration has been way more profitable than both imagined when it started almost 25 years in the past with Belichick scribbling on a serviette that he was resigning from the Jets after sooner or later as their head coach to affix Kraft and the Patriots.
Kraft gave Belichick what he at all times wished, autonomy in soccer operations, and let him flex an unparalleled soccer acumen constructed as a schoolboy learning soccer along with his dad on the Naval Academy.
And Belichick gave Kraft what he had dreamed of. Earlier than proudly owning the franchise, Kraft was a diehard season ticket holder watching unhealthy Patriots groups on chilly days in a decrepit stadium. Belichick gave Kraft a soccer crew that gained greater than another. Kraft gained clout and standing amongst an ego-filled group of billionaire homeowners, none of whom might match Kraft’s success.
However 5 years after that final Tremendous Bowl, the Patriots are a shell of their once-dominant selves. By the two-minute warning of that Week 15 recreation towards the Chiefs, one other double-digit loss was already determined.
Followers headed out for an early exit. Kraft did, too. He obtained up from his traditional seat subsequent to Jonathan and regarded round. Visiting followers had been filling the decrease bowl to cheer on their crew. Kraft checked out Jonathan and the 2 obtained as much as depart.
There was no level in watching this any longer.
(Illustration by Eamonn Dalton / The Athletic; pictures: Jessica Rinaldi / The Boston Globe by way of Getty Photographs, Jim Davis / The Boston Globe by way of Getty Photographs, Matthew J. Lee / The Boston Globe by way of Getty Photographs, Jamie Squire / Getty Photographs, Matthew West / MediaNews Group / Boston Herald by way of Getty Photographs)
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